Financial Forum
This series, Financial Forum, is presented by Pro Advantage Services,
Inc., a subsidiary of Pharmacists Mutual Insurance Company, and your
State Pharmacy Association through Pharmacy Marketing Group, Inc.,
a company dedicated to providing quality products and services to
the
pharmacy community.
THE COMPELLING CASE FOR ASSET ALLOCATION
A new era of investing has begun. The times when we could blindly
invest in indexes and expect strong returns are gone. Instead, this
new investment environment requires a more sophisticated, active
approach to generating attractive return potential and controlling
risk. This approach is asset allocation.
What Is Asset Allocation?
Asset allocation is a method for determining what mix of investments
is likely to produce the most appropriate returns for a given level
of risk. The idea is to invest in the right blend among stocks,
bonds and cash and to adjust the mix as market conditions change.
For example, a growth portfolio might be invested 70 percent
in stocks, 20 percent in bonds and 10 percent in cash equivalents.
If the market
outlook for stocks deteriorated, the mix might shift to 50 percent
stocks, 30 percent bonds and 20 percent cash.
Why Is Asset Allocation
Important?
A study performed in 1986 found that over 10 years, more than 90
percent of the difference in returns among a group of large pension
plans resulted from decisions about the asset mix, rather than
from security selection. Such studies indicate that getting the
asset
mix right is the most important part of successful investing.1
In
1988, the Nobel Prize in Economics went to Harry Markowitz and
others, who developed a statistical model called the Capital
Asset
Pricing Model (CAPM). The CAPM indicates that a mix of stocks
and bonds can potentially provide significantly higher returns,
with
less risk, than an all-bond portfolio. The CAPM also indicates
that while the long-term return of a mix of stocks and bonds
is not as
high as the return of an all-stock portfolio, the volatility
of a blend of stocks and bonds is substantially lower than with
a
pure
stock portfolio.
While asset allocation/investment timing cannot
eliminate the risk of fluctuating prices and uncertain returns,
it seeks to
improve
on a static blend by making tactical shifts among asset classes
-- to improve the balance of return and risk.
Ongoing Discipline
Successful asset allocation involves looking at the market
as a whole and evaluating a wide variety of indicators to
determine which types
of investments are most attractive. Investor psychology,
monetary conditions and market valuation combine to produce a
complete
outlook
for the market.
Psychological and monetary indicators suggest where investors
are going and which assets are likely to generate attractive
returns.2 Market valuation indicates the expected magnitude of any
move in the markets.
How Can You Use Asset Allocation?
You can implement asset allocation in your own portfolio
in several different ways. Custom asset-allocation recommendations
are available
for individual clients to identify a mix of stocks, bonds,
cash, and even international securities3, that fits their
goals
and
objectives. An investment professional trained in providing
asset-allocation advice should be consulted.
1 Asset allocation
cannot eliminate the risk of fluctuating prices and uncertain
returns. Source: Brinson, Singer and
Beebower, “Determinants
of Portfolio Performance,” Financial Analysts Journal,
May/June 1991.
2 Past performance is no guarantee of future
results.
3 Global/international investing involves risks
not typically associated with U.S. investing, including currency
fluctuations,
political
instability, uncertain economic conditions and different
accounting standards.
Provided
by courtesy of Pat Reding, CFP? of Pro Advantage Services
Inc., in Algona, Iowa. For more information, please call
Pat Reding
at 1-800-288-6669.
Registered representative of and securities
offered through Berthel Fisher & Company Financial Services,
Inc. Member NASD & SIPC
Pro Advantage Services, Inc./Pharmacists
Mutual is independent of Berthel Fisher & Company Financial
Services Inc. Berthel Fisher & Company
Financial Services, Inc. does not provide legal or
tax advice. Before taking any action that would have tax consequences,
consult with
your tax and legal professionals. This article is for
informational purposes only. It is not meant to be a recommendation
or solicitation
of any securities or market strategy.
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